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ABSTRACT
Purpose of writing this article is to
convey my ideas under a certain part which I have learned using the reading
materials of this week, in our philosophy course. Mainly we have discussed
about scientific inquiry. Under this main topic we have learned about several subtopics.
Those are invention and test, the test of a hypothesis and criteria of
confirmation and acceptability. I'm going to select apart from the reading
material, which I was enjoyed by learning it and I hope to make reflection on
that part. As I feel, most interesting part that I have learned during this
week is "The Test of a Hypothesis". Therefore, using this article, I
hope to express my ideas under this part.
Keywords: hypothesis, experimental, prediction, logic,
variables
1. Introduction
I wish to express my opinion about
"The Test of a Hypothesis" as I feel it is not only important in
science but also in our life. Today's my topic is "Are Hypothesis better
than Predictions?". Using some subtopics also I'm going to discuss under
my topic. Subtopics that I hope to discuss are what is a hypothesis, features
of a hypothesis, is a hypothesis better than a prediction? importance of making
hypotheses, the test of a hypothesis, experimental tests vs. nonexperimental
tests and throughout my experience. As I mentioned here, I hope to use my
personal experience for your better understanding. Let's begin the discussion.
2. WHAT
IS A HYPOTHESIS?
A hypothesis is an educated guess,
based on observation. Usually, a hypothesis can be supported through experimentation
or more observation. A hypothesis may be disproven, but not proven to be true.
2.1 FEATURES
OF A HYPOTHESIS
Normally,
a hypothesis explains what the observer/ researcher/ scientist or even we
expect to happen. A hypothesis should always be clear and understandable. Another
most important feature of a hypothesis is it must be testable. It is very easy
to do experiments if the hypothesis is measurable. A hypothesis must consist of
an independent variable and dependent variable.
2.2 HYPOTHESIS OR PREDICTION
In
here I'm trying to give you an idea about difference between hypothesis and
prediction. Is a hypothesis better than a prediction? A thing that is predicted
or a forecast of something is known as a prediction. In this we'll lead to
interpret what may happen according to the presentation observation and goes
forth to the future. In hypothesis, we'll lead to explain why something
happened and goes back to the beginning or causes of the occurred.
As I feel hypothesis is more valuable than prediction, but we can't throw away
predictions in our daily life. Most important prediction that we are using in
our daily life is weather forecast. Predictions cannot be tested until it
happens naturally, but hypothesis can be tested through experiments or more
observations. So, I think a hypothesis has more value.
3. THE TEST OF A HYPOTHESIS
This
is a standard procedure for testing a hypothesis. As we know scientific method
basically consists of five steps. Those are identifying a question, gather
information by observation, hypothesis, test hypothesis and reports conclusion.
In here you can see the importance of test of a hypothesis. Without doing a
test we can procedure scientific method to clarify our question.
To test the hypothesis, we have to conduct an experiment. Experiment is the
best way to quantifiably test the hypotheses. And the person who do the
experiment should be able to give acceptable reasons to others and if it needs,
to repeat the experiment.
3.1 EXPERIMENTAL TESTS VS. NONEXPERIMENTAL
TESTS
Experimental
tests will start because of having some observations and hypotheses that have
made on the way of finding answers for an observed problem. But nonexperimental
tests are conducted to invent, find, or produce something purposely. Like doing
an experiment on finding a suitable, vaccine with less side effects, for Covid
19.
4. THROUGHOUT MY EXPERIENCE
Since
we are talking from the beginning, the power of word hypothesis makes you feel
that this is totally relevant to the science, scientific experiments, and research.
If you felt like that, it is a wrong opinion. With or without our knowing we
are using many hypotheses in our day-to-day life.
Usually I know that, when my mother is at home, she keeps the front door open.
We'll assume when I come to the home after my practices, the front door is
closed. But my mother told me in the morning, that she is going to stay at home
for the whole day. Then, without deep thinking my own mind, we'll start to make
hypotheses even without my hard sense.
Sometimes she has left home for an essential work. Sometimes she may sleep
inside. This is a nice example for making hypotheses in our day-to-day life.
By the end of this reflection article, I'm pretty sure that you have taken a
clear image about hypotheses and as well as predictions. What I can conclude
from my article is, it is good to depend your daily life on hypotheses which
have a scientific basement rather than depending on predictions. Iβm sure that
now you can understand βAre hypotheses better than predictions?".
REFERENCES
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